Abstract:
Current knowledge of adaptation and adaptive capacity is
insufficient for reliable prediction of adaptations; it also is
insufficient for rigorous evaluation of planned adaptation
options, measures, and policies of governments. C l i m a t e
change vulnerability studies now usually consider adaptation,
but they rarely go beyond identifying adaptation options that
might be possible; there is little research on the dynamics of
adaptation in human systems, the processes of adaptation
decisionmaking, conditions that stimulate or constrain
adaptation, and the role of nonclimatic factors. There are serious
limitations in existing evaluations of adaptation options:
Economic benefits and costs are important criteria but are not
sufficient to adequately determine the appropriateness of
adaptation measures; there also has been little research to date
on the roles and responsibilities in adaptation of individuals,
communities, corporations, private and public institutions,
governments, and international organizations. Given the scope
and variety of specific adaptation options across sectors,
individuals, communities, and locations, as well as the variety of
participants—private and public—involved in most adaptation
initiatives, it is probably infeasible to systematically evaluate
lists of particular adaptation measures; improving and applying
knowledge on the constraints and opportunities for enhancing
adaptive capacity is necessary to reduce vulnerabilities associated
with climate change.
Author:
BARRY SMIT, OLGA PILIFOSOVA